The Big Reset Part II

RUSSIA - UKRAINE

So President Putin has found himself with some good fortune with the Iran war where they are still able to help their friend (Iran) in private even if they can't yet in public. Russia has a great chance of coming out ahead after the war in Ukraine which I believe can end this year. Ukraine has developed a strong home made weapons manufacturing industry and they have a chance now that they can hone in on that (sadly, because weapons kill people) and build their economy on selling weapons to its neighbors, especially some with deep pockets west of Ukraine ahem ahem the EU. It would make sense to maybe lose the war in some respect aka territory but retain its people and young soldiers and put them towards weapons manufacturing.

And now I am going to contradict myself because if Russia sees that Ukraine is making advanced drones the war will never stop because Russia won't leave Ukraine alone if they know that Ukraine is working towards advanced weaponry.
And as the threats of the US leaving Nato are only growing by the day, there is a strong possibility that US will actually pull out of NATO by end of July or December max but I doubt it stretches that far. Several EU countries have flat out refused to help the US in this war in any capacity, some have refused access to its military bases and Spain being a brave warrior here refused access to even its airspace, a move that would go down in the history books as very ballsy IMO.

So you have a EU - Canada alliance coming soon, that is not Nato. That is a few middle powers getting together and making an alliance but they will still need to buy weapons from the US if they want their alliance to be militarily strong or develop their own manufacturing and tech which will require resources, time, strong legal immigration of skilled workers. All of these things don't happen immediately. So now we have a strong Ukrainian arms manufacturing facility , the EU that needs that and has some money to put towards it. In a world with no US leading security for the EU and a full pull out of Nato, the EU along with Ukraine with Canada available if needed is going to need to enter the fight against Russian advances because Russia will sure as hell advance and try to further diminish its neighbors extending up to the UK.

So this is all good news for Russia, Ukraine however is probably going to keep fighting in some capacity. There maybe some intermittent pauses which is part of war but a proper ceasefire is not going to be any time soon, meaning a few years at least until end of 2028 simply because of how slow things can move and war can start becoming profitable for certain entities some of whom naturally will then do what they can to keep the war going.

EUROPE

As you have read above the EU needs some serious paying attention to its sovereign systems and sort of renovating the old house that looks cool but has termite damage to its frame and needs capable leadership that will radically rebuild its tech, warfare and economic capacity which may (it needs to) include its own Energy production. And they have been investing into their own solar and wind energy production with Nuclear still leading the charge and hydrogen and methane lagging behind still. They need to increase their battery capacity from 5.4GW to 60 GW by 2030 so we know a lot of work needs to be done there. Every cylinder needs to fire for this to happen so the EU can reduce or eliminate its energy dependency on clear hostile actors for them.

Far right and Ultra conservative policies will also rise during this time in the name of Nationalism and possible further fracture the capacity of its growth. For positive scenarios to occur, they do need to firmly address the migrant crisis that has been naturally due to the wars being waged right now in the Entire middle east and Africa. At the same time, there needs to be a push to welcome skilled workers, scientists, entrepreneurs and educated immigrants to get the job done. It isn't that EU relies on immigration (Internal migrant workers however are absolutely vital) but when you have a good pool of immigrants that want to live in the EU and work and pay taxes it would be unwise to not use their support to build your ships. It is but natural for every developed nations native population to grow a bit softer, nothing wrong with that. Support from outside provides people who will work harder and bring their own perspective to things and go further above and beyond. If the EU doesn't do this in time, they will rank low on the totem pole and the skilled immigration will go elsewhere.

And as of 05.12.2026 The Labour party in the UK has suffered heavy losses with over 70 MPs asking Starmer to quit. He shows resilience however and it seems like he will either be removed using a legal procedure or he will cave into the pressure. Either way, UK politics is going to be rocky along with all the other challenges that are circling this region. With it now being a multi party kingdom and Reform absolutely demolishing Labour with the Lib dems securing a lot of voters hurt by Labor. It is a conundrum and it is what it is , I think the English will figure it out and find stability over the next couple of decades. They're going to have to otherwise they will dissolve and become ever more irrelevant.
At this point the EU is in some ways focusing on solving the problems that have come about due to military policy and other laxities in general in the region.

Orbans right wing government has also fallen and the new leader Péter Magyar has made it clear that he wants to bring the "rule of law" back to Hungary after Orbans regime. So we are in the middle of a major shift that is happening in how things work around the world and a new world order (Overused term). This period is likely to last until about 2034 so keep that in mind